Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.