Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
3 - 0
Varbergs

Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 3-2 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Champions League

Varbergs BoIS

Last Six:
Last Game: Varbergs 3-0 Varnamo
Sunday, July 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 81.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.03%) and 1-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
81.92% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)12.82% (0.017000000000001 0.02)5.26% (0.0159 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)40.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.73% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)7.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.89% (0.080000000000005 0.08)60.1% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.29% (0.040000000000001 0.04)90.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 81.9%
    Varbergs BoIS 5.26%
    Draw 12.82%
MalmoDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 15.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 81.9%
1-1 @ 5.98% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 1.97% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 12.82%
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 5.26%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Varbergs
1-1
Malmo
Simovic (29')
Matthews (21'), Ejupi (32'), Stanisic (55'), Carlos de Brito (78'), Johansson (84')
Birmancevic (43')
Pena (53'), Nalic (90+3'), Abubakari (90+5')
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
Malmo
3-2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
Jun 21, 2020 1.30pm
Malmo
2-2
Varbergs
Rieks (7'), Kiese Thelin (83')
Christiansen (35'), Nielsen (90+2')
Christiansen (37')
Johansson (9'), Norlin (75')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')
rhs 2.0


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