Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12

Jul 3, 2022 at 2pm UK

Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
3 - 0
Varnamo

Alfonsi (27'), Simovic (53'), Junior (86')
Simovic (88'), Le Roux (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tihi (56')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Varnamo
45.7% ( 0)	26.74% ( -0.02)	27.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

0.08)

55.72% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

0.06)

76.86% (

-0.06)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.04)

24.32% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.05)

58.71% (

-0.05)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

0.05)

35.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

0.05)

72.32% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Varbergs BoIS 45.7%

Varnamo 27.56%

Draw 26.73%

Varbergs BoIS	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.56%