Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
Jun 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
4 - 1
Varbergs

Bernhardsson (45+1'), Olsson (77'), Alm (82'), Larsson (90+6')
Bernhardsson (17'), Henriksson (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simovic (32' pen.)
Mensah (90')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

Last Six:
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-2 Elfsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varbergs BoIS

Last Six:
Last Game: Djurgarden 4-0 Varbergs
Sunday, May 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
69.8% (0.691 0.69)19.01% (-0.099 -0.1)11.19% (-0.588 -0.59)
Both teams to score 43.75% (-1.568 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (-1.06 -1.06)47.48% (1.062 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (-0.986 -0.99)69.69% (0.99000000000001 0.99)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)12.43% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (-0.242 -0.24)38.35% (0.245 0.24)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.96% (-1.722 -1.72)50.03% (1.723 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.32% (-1.221 -1.22)84.68% (1.224 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 69.78%
    Varbergs BoIS 11.19%
    Draw 19.01%
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 13.51% (0.47 0.47)
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 9.4% (0.286 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 69.78%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.01%
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Varbergs

Elfsborg
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Elfsborg
0-0
Varbergs

Larsson (59'), Boateng (63'), Zanden (84')

Simovic (31'), Ejupi (34'), Mensah (45'), Carlos de Brito (75'), Tranberg (90+5')
Apr 19, 2021 6pm
Varbergs
1-3
Elfsborg
Karlsson Adjei (68')
Simovic (35'), Le Roux (85')
Lamine Jarjue (7'), Ndione (34', 86')
Okumu (43'), Romer (45'), Ndione (64'), Holmen (70'), Ronning (74')
Oct 26, 2020 6pm
Varbergs
0-0
Elfsborg

Heltne Nilsen (24'), Holst (28')
Jul 26, 2020 1.30pm
Elfsborg
3-3
Varbergs
Karlsson (33' pen., 72'), Alm (66')
Gojani (45')
Matthews (8'), Sadiku (70'), Stromberg (90+5')
Ejupi (90+4')
May 11, 2020 6pm
Elfsborg
P-P
Varbergs