Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 12
Jul 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
4 - 3
Sandefjord

Maigaard (8', 19'), Saletros (54' pen.), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ruud Tveter (22'), Vega (44'), Ofkir (73')
Ayer (77'), Smeulers (90+2')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

Last Six:
Last Game: HamKam 3-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sandefjord

Last Six:
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-2 Tromso
Sunday, June 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
47.71% (-6.493 -6.49)22.46% (0.924 0.92)29.83% (5.573 5.57)
Both teams to score 64.55% (1.814 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.25% (0.18899999999999 0.19)35.75% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.208 0.21)57.82% (-0.204 -0.2)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (-2.062 -2.06)15.43% (2.067 2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (-4.003 -4)44.27% (4.006 4.01)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (3.915 3.91)23.67% (-3.911 -3.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (5.336 5.34)57.78% (-5.332 -5.33)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 47.71%
    Sandefjord 29.83%
    Draw 22.46%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.426 -0.43)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.593 -0.59)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-1.088 -1.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.726 -0.73)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-1.035 -1.04)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.571 -0.57)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.663 -0.66)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.307 -0.31)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 47.71%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.429 0.43)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.933 0.93)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.515 0.52)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.735 0.74)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.762 0.76)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.522 0.52)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.509 0.51)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.375 0.38)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.83%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sandefjord
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2021 5pm
Sarpsborg
5-0
Sandefjord
Kone (15', 22', 28', 45+6'), M. Foss (76' og.)
Saletros (54')

Gudjonsson (62'), Moen Foss (63'), Erik Odegaard (70')
Jul 10, 2021 5pm
Sandefjord
2-0
Sarpsborg
Gudjonsson (32'), Normann Hansen (68')
Moen Foss (72'), Normann Hansen (75')

Palsson (44'), Jorgen Halvorsen (62')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Sandefjord
P-P
Sarpsborg
Dec 9, 2020 5pm
Sarpsborg
0-0
Sandefjord

Jorgen Halvorsen (10')
Jorgen Halvorsen (56')

Rufo (8'), Wembangomo (20'), Kralj (35'), Vega (36'), Haakenstad (79'), Normann Hansen (88')
Aug 23, 2020 5pm
Sarpsborg
P-P
Sandefjord
rhs 2.0


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