Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 11
Jun 26, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Aleksander Melgalvis 17' goal
  • Kristian Eriksen 44' goal
  • Jonas Enkerud 65' goal
  • Aleksander Melgalvis 67' yellowcard
  • Eduards Daskevics 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Hasan Kurucay 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jorgen Horn 18'
  • goal Jonathan Lindseth 42'

HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HamKam

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Jun 19, 2022 5.00pm
Jerv 1 - 2 HamKam
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Kristian Eriksen

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Jun 18, 2022 3.00pm
Sarpsborg 5 - 1 Stromsgodset
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tobias Heintz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.

Result

HamKam 38.99% (-0.11)
Draw 26.19% (+0.25)
Sarpsborg 08 34.82% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.46% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.9% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 51.09% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 27.05% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 72.95% (+0.96)

HamKam Goals

Over 0.5 74.32% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 25.67% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 39.42% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 60.58% (+0.76)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5 71.92% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 28.08% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 36.26% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 63.74% (+0.78)

Score analysis

HamKam 38.99%
Draw 26.19%
Sarpsborg 08 34.82%
HamKam
1-0 @ 9.8% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.66% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
Sarpsborg 08
0-1 @ 9.16% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.82% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.82%