Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 8

May 26, 2022 at 7pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 2
Molde

Heintz (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Grodem (51'), Fofana (69')
Karlstrom (83')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Molde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Molde
25.79% ( 0.21)	24.66% ( 0.42)	49.55% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

-1.61)

48.67% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-1.48)

70.78% (

1.47)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

-0.69)

33.21% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

-0.77)

69.82% (

0.76)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.88)

19.67% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-1.45)

51.65% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 25.79%

Molde 49.55%

Draw 24.65%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Molde
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.79%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.55%