Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 7

May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 2
Aalesund

Molins (13')
Skipper (50'), Horn (52'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (59'), Maigaard (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Haugen (34', 90+2')
Canadija (23'), Bolkan Nordli (38'), Haugen (90+2')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Aalesund
40.16% ( 0.54)	25.17% ( 0.08)	34.66% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

-0.47)

46.7% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

-0.44)

68.96% (

0.44)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.07)

23.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

0.1)

56.93% (

-0.09)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.58)

26.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

-0.79)

61.12% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 40.16%

Aalesund 34.66%

Draw 25.17%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Aalesund
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.66%