Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.