Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aalesund in this match.