Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.