Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

May 11, 2022 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
3 - 2
NEC

Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
82.36% ( -0.52)	11.33% ( 0.28)	6.31% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.19% (

-0.4)

26.81% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.73% (

-0.51)

47.27% (

0.52)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.21% (

-0.15)

4.79% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.66% (

-0.48)

19.34% (

0.48)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.51% (

0.38)

46.49% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.9% (

0.29)

82.1% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 82.35%

NEC 6.31%

Draw 11.33%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
3-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.34% Total : 82.35%	1-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.33%	1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.31%