Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

May 1, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
4 - 2
Willem II

Doan (2'), Gakpo (31'), Zahavi (45+2'), Dammers (60' og.)

FT(HT: 3-1)

Nunnely (44'), Kabangu (50')
Saddiki (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
88.49%	8.03%	3.47%

Both teams to score 43.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.22%

23.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.67%

43.33%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.65%

3.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.28%

14.72%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.47%

54.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.4%

87.6%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 88.49%

Willem II 3.47%

Draw 8.03%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
3-0 @ 11.95% 2-0 @ 10.54% 4-0 @ 10.16% 3-1 @ 7.25% 5-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 6.2% 4-1 @ 6.16% 5-1 @ 4.19% 6-0 @ 3.92% 6-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.2% 7-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 88.49%	1-1 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 1.94% 0-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.03%	1-2 @ 1.14% 0-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.47%