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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Willem II |
| 53.96% ( | 21.37% ( | 24.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.35% ( | 34.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.4% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( | 13.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( | 26.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( | 61.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.67% |