Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.