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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
18.59% | 22.22% | 59.19% |
Both teams to score 51.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% | 46.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% | 68.69% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.18% | 38.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.45% | 75.55% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% | 15.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% | 44.05% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 5.62% 2-1 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.66% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.59% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-4 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
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