Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

May 8, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 2
Ajax

Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
21.29%	23.28%	55.43%

Both teams to score 52.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72%

47.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5%

69.5%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.26%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1%

16.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.05%

46.94%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 21.29%

Ajax 55.43%

Draw 23.28%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 6.22% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.29%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 0.92% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 55.43%