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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-3 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
| 11.13% | 15.33% | 73.53% |
| Both teams to score 57.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.99% | 30.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.79% | 51.2% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% | 38.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% | 75.18% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93% | 7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.38% | 25.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.27% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.39% 2-0 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.63% Total : 11.13% | 1-1 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 4.35% 0-0 @ 2.69% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.33% | 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.44% 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.16% 0-4 @ 5.61% 1-4 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 3.86% 0-5 @ 2.98% 1-5 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.57% 2-5 @ 1.36% 0-6 @ 1.32% 1-6 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.08% Total : 73.53% |