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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.43%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 1.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.74%) and 2-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.39%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
93.43% | 5.02% | 1.55% |
Both teams to score 34.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.76% | 39.25% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.75% | 2.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
89.2% | 10.8% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
34.82% | 65.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.92% | 93.08% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 13.41% 4-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 10.58% 5-0 @ 9.69% 6-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.74% 1-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 4.53% 5-1 @ 4.15% 7-0 @ 3.33% 6-1 @ 2.63% 8-0 @ 1.58% 7-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.07% Total : 93.42% | 1-1 @ 2.39% 0-0 @ 1.47% 2-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.02% | Other @ 1.55% Total : 1.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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