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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 73.67% | 16.17% | 10.15% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.51% | 37.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% | 59.71% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% | 8.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% | 30.07% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% | 45.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.71% | 81.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 5.84% 4-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 2.84% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-0 @ 1.15% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.34% Total : 73.67% | 1-1 @ 7.64% 0-0 @ 3.98% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.14% 1-2 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.15% |