Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 9.08% | 16.15% | 74.77% |
| Both teams to score 45.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% | 49.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.37% | 84.63% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% | 9.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.5% | 31.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 3.24% 2-1 @ 2.67% 2-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.15% | 0-2 @ 13.11% 0-1 @ 11.06% 0-3 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 7.19% 0-4 @ 6.14% 1-4 @ 4.26% 0-5 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-5 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-6 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.46% Total : 74.75% |