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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 41.96% | 27.16% | 30.87% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% | 77.01% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% | 26.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% | 61.41% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% | 33.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.87% |