KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals

Feb 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse

Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wittek (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
69.52%	15.4%	15.07%

Both teams to score 70.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.08%

19.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.02%

37.98%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.64%

5.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.97%

21.02%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37%

60.62%

Score Analysis

Ajax 69.52%

Vitesse 15.07%

Draw 15.4%

Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.76% 4-1 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 4.22% 1-0 @ 4.03% 4-2 @ 3.89% 5-1 @ 3.36% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-2 @ 2.28% 4-3 @ 1.76% 6-1 @ 1.64% 6-0 @ 1.21% 6-2 @ 1.11% 5-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.99% Total : 69.52%	1-1 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 2.41% 0-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.4%	1-2 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-1 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.68% 0-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.07% Total : 15.07%

How you voted: Ajax vs Vitesse

Ajax

89.5%

Draw

5.3%

Vitesse