AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax

PSV
1 - 2
Ajax

Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PSV Eindhoven win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
19.16%20.22%60.63%
Both teams to score 59.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.61%36.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.48%58.52%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34%11.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.27%36.73%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 19.16%
    Ajax 60.63%
    Draw 20.22%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.17%
1-0 @ 4.26%
2-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.16%
1-1 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 8.1%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-3 @ 6.23%
2-3 @ 3.98%
1-4 @ 3.78%
0-4 @ 3.35%
2-4 @ 2.14%
1-5 @ 1.63%
0-5 @ 1.44%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 60.63%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
23.7%
Draw
19.7%
Ajax
56.6%
76
rhs 2.0


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