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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | NEC |
| 39.85% | 25.24% | 34.91% |
| Both teams to score 56.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% | 46.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% | 69.21% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% | 23.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% | 57.33% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.19% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.91% |