Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 21, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Willem II

Stevanovic (70'), Bakker (76')
Musaba (13'), Kaib (36'), Stevanovic (82'), Dresevic (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunnely (69')
Nelom (75')
Nelom (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Willem II
44.84%	24.97%	30.19%

Both teams to score 55.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77%

47.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54%

69.46%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.93%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9%

65.1%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 44.84%

Willem II 30.19%

Draw 24.96%

Heerenveen	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.84%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.19%