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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 48.57% | 26.07% | 25.36% |
| Both teams to score 48.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.38% | 54.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% | 75.95% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% | 22.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% | 56.08% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% | 73.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.36% |