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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
| 50.46% | 25.23% | 24.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% | 20.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% | 53.29% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% | 36.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% | 73.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.31% |