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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 59.37% | 21.35% | 19.28% |
| Both teams to score 55.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% | 63.9% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% | 13.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.29% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.29% |