Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 18, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
1 - 0
Sittard

Veerman (5')
Dresevic (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sambou (59'), Baghdadi (76'), Lake (90+4'), Duarte (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
48.14%	24.62%	27.24%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.56%

47.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35%

69.66%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24%

19.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19%

51.81%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21%

67.79%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 48.14%

Fortuna Sittard 27.24%

Draw 24.62%

Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.14%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.24%