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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 58.8% | 22.44% | 18.75% |
| Both teams to score 51.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% | 47.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% | 69.36% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% | 15.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% | 44.74% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% | 39.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.8% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 1% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.75% |