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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
17.37% | 21.61% | 61.02% |
Both teams to score 51.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% | 45.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% | 68.05% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% | 39.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% | 76.5% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% | 14.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% | 42.5% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.32% 2-1 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.37% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 0-2 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-4 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |