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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
| 37.72% | 26.72% | 35.57% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% | 53.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% | 74.79% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% | 28.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% | 64.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.57% |