Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 18, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 1
Groningen

Okyere Wriedt (5'), Saddiki (24')
Saddiki (7'), Llonch (54'), Okyere Wriedt (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suslov (61')
van Hintum (19'), Ngonge (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Groningen
42.82%	25.6%	31.59%

Both teams to score 54.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.63%

49.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.58%

71.42%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27%

56.73%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7%

29.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73%

65.26%

Score Analysis

Willem II 42.82%

Groningen 31.59%

Draw 25.59%

Willem II	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.59%