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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitesse in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 30.25% | 24.2% | 45.56% |
| Both teams to score 58.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% | 43.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% | 66.16% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% | 27.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% | 62.87% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% | 19.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-1 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.56% |