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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Willem II |
| 59.08% | 22.26% | 18.66% |
| Both teams to score 51.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% | 46.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% | 68.73% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% | 15.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% | 44.14% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% | 75.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.64% 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.66% |