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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 28.71% | 23.54% | 47.74% |
| Both teams to score 59.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% | 41.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% | 64.03% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% | 62.8% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% | 17.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% | 48.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.74% |