Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
3 - 2
Willem II

van de Streek (4'), van Beek (45+4' og.), Kerk (68')
Maher (33'), Gustafson (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Holmen (57'), Okyere Wriedt (82')
Holmen (34'), Okyere Wriedt (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Willem II
64.48%	19.46%	16.06%

Both teams to score 55.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.63%

38.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.34%

60.66%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.77%

11.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.21%

35.79%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03%

36.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25%

73.76%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 64.48%

Willem II 16.06%

Draw 19.46%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Willem II
2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.28% Total : 64.48%	1-1 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.46%	1-2 @ 4.5% 0-1 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.06%