Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 10, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
4 - 0
Willem II

Bakis (6', 38'), Propper (46'), Vloet (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Owusu (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Willem II
57.79%	23.48%	18.73%

Both teams to score 48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66%

51.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83%

73.17%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47%

17.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95%

48.05%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.45%

41.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96%

78.04%

Score Analysis

Heracles 57.79%

Willem II 18.73%

Draw 23.47%

Heracles	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.79%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.73%