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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
57.79% | 23.48% | 18.73% |
Both teams to score 48.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.66% | 51.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.83% | 73.17% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% | 17.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% | 48.05% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.45% | 41.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.96% | 78.04% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.79% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |