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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 37.72% | 24.7% | 37.58% |
| Both teams to score 58.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% | 23.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% | 57.15% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% | 23.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% | 57.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.58% |