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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
| 31.98% | 26.97% | 41.05% |
| Both teams to score 50.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% | 54.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% | 76.13% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% | 31.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% | 68.21% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% | 26.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.05% |