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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
31.98% | 26.97% | 41.05% |
Both teams to score 50.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% | 54.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% | 76.13% |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% | 31.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% | 68.21% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% | 26.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% | 61.4% |
Score Analysis |
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |