Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
