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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 29.71% | 23.38% | 46.91% |
| Both teams to score 61.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% | 40.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% | 62.62% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% | 25.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.99% | 61.02% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% | 17.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.95% Total : 46.91% |