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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
61.94% | 20.69% | 17.37% |
Both teams to score 54.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.38% | 41.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.98% | 64.01% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.09% | 12.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.67% | 39.33% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.62% | 37.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.84% | 74.16% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.9% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.75% 0-2 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |