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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 17.34% | 20.52% | 62.13% |
| Both teams to score 55.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% | 73.76% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% | 12.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% | 38.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.65% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.34% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.52% | 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 6.86% 0-4 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.41% 2-4 @ 1.77% 0-5 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.53% Total : 62.13% |