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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 42.65% | 24.15% | 33.19% |
| Both teams to score 60.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% | 42.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% | 52.24% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% | 24.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% | 59.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.19% |