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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Willem II |
| 34.67% | 25.05% | 40.27% |
| Both teams to score 57.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% | 46.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% | 68.44% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% | 25.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% | 60.75% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% | 22.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% | 56.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-1 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.27% |