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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
48.87% | 24.67% | 26.46% |
Both teams to score 54.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% | 48.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.82% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% | 68.95% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |