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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 48.87% | 24.67% | 26.46% |
| Both teams to score 54.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% | 70.37% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% | 19.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% | 51.82% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% | 32.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% | 68.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.87% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.46% |