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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 62.9% | 20.59% | 16.5% |
| Both teams to score 52.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% | 42.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% | 65.16% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% | 12.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.51% | 39.49% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% | 75.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 6.76% 4-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.23% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.77% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.5% |