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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
62.9% | 20.59% | 16.5% |
Both teams to score 52.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% | 65.16% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% | 12.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.51% | 39.49% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% | 75.82% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 10.58% 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 6.76% 4-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.23% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.77% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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