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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
| 44.78% | 25.77% | 29.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% | 72.86% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% | 56.38% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% | 31.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% | 68.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.45% |